MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds (September 25, 2026)
The Cincinnati Reds (74-85) face the Toronto Blue Jays (77-82) at Rogers Centre on Friday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nick Lodolo is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Jose Soriano is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -136, while the Reds are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -107.
- The Reds (-198) have an 81-78 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+163) hold a record of 78-81.
- The Reds have an 83-73-3 O/U record this season (meaning 83 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have an 80-74-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Reds are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 (30th).
- In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .228 (ranking 30th in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .248 (9th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 211 to rank 4th. Alternatively, the Blue Jays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 150 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 625 RBIs to rank T26th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 604 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 3.92 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 4.85 (28th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 1273 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 10th for total strikeouts, recording 1380.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .235 against the Blue Jays this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .255 (27th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 33-47-79 | 16-19-46 | 17-28-33 | 11-10-21 | 22-37-58 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Blue Jays | 32-43-84 | 15-23-40 | 17-20-44 | 21-25-41 | 11-18-43 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 48-66-45 | 26-29-26 | 22-37-19 | 15-14-13 | 33-52-32 | 0-0-0 | 4-5-1 |
| Blue Jays | 54-68-37 | 25-31-22 | 29-37-15 | 34-33-20 | 20-35-17 | 0-0-0 | 4-5-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 74-85 in Reds games this season. The Blue Jays have a 79-80 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded an upset 13-9 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park when these teams last met on September 3, 2025. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.
