MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets (September 25, 2026)
The New York Mets (73-86) face the Washington Nationals (75-84) at Nationals Park on Friday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jefry Yan is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Andrew Alvarez is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Mets opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Nationals coming into -112 and Mets drifting to -108. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- The Mets (+153) have a 76-83 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-186) hold a record of 90-69.
- The Mets have a 74-73-12 O/U record this season (meaning 74 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and 12 have resulted in a push). The Nationals have an 83-69-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging +0.8 more at 5.1 runs (3rd).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (27th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .238 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .246 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 207 (5th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 197 (9th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 652 RBIs to rank 21st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 765 RBIs to rank 3rd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.65 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.14 (16th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded an impressive 1427 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Nationals rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording only 1254.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .253 against the Nationals this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .239 (13th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 38-37-84 | 23-16-42 | 15-21-42 | 27-17-41 | 11-20-43 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Nationals | 42-35-82 | 24-12-42 | 18-23-40 | 15-5-19 | 27-30-63 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Mets are -135 to lead after three innings, while the Nationals are +105.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 53-67-39 | 26-34-21 | 27-33-18 | 32-32-21 | 21-35-18 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Nationals | 63-53-43 | 36-19-23 | 27-34-20 | 21-6-12 | 42-47-31 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 78-81 in Mets games this season. The Nationals have a 79-80 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded a 4-3 victory over the Nationals at Citi Field when these teams last met on August 16. Luis Torrens went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Mets have now won four straight against the Nationals.
