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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers (September 25, 2026)

The Texas Rangers (79-80) face the Minnesota Twins (75-84) at Target Field on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jacob deGrom is the probable pitcher for the Rangers, while Joe Ryan is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Rangers (+153) have a 76-83 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-187) hold a record of 84-75.
  • The Rangers have an 82-70-7 O/U record this season (meaning 82 games have gone over the total runs line, 70 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Twins have an 84-64-11 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.4 more at 4.5 runs (10th).
  • In the field, the Rangers are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (T13th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (T25th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rangers are at .242 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .244 (16th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 184 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rangers have managed 178 (T17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rangers have recorded 637 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 690 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.57 this season (25th in the Majors), while The Rangers have an ERA of 4.28 (22nd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rangers have recorded 1315 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 1355.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .249 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rangers' opponents are at .247 (18th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rangers 42-49-68 23-25-33 19-24-35 21-27-34 21-22-34 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Twins 38-44-77 19-14-44 19-29-33 13-13-28 25-31-49 0-1-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rangers 60-66-33 35-30-16 25-36-17 30-37-15 30-29-18 0-0-0 6-3-1
    Twins 64-66-29 34-25-18 30-40-11 24-19-11 40-47-18 0-1-0 5-5-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 66-93 in Rangers games this season. The Twins have a 65-94 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 9-3 victory over the Rangers at Globe Life Field when these teams last met on June 18. Trevor Larnach dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs. The Twins have now won four straight against the Rangers.