MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins (April 21, 2026)
The Minnesota Twins (11-11) face the New York Mets (7-15) at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Simeon Woods-Richardson is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -181, while the Twins are at +149. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Twins (-149) have a 12-10 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+123) hold a record of 8-14.
- The Twins have a 12-9-1 O/U record this season (meaning 12 games have gone over the total runs line, nine have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Mets have a 9-12-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Twins are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 3.3 (30th).
- In the field, the Twins are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (14th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .230 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .226 (23rd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 26 to rank T6th. Alternatively, the Mets are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 16 (T27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 107 RBIs to rank 7th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 68 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.06 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.06 (17th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 183 this season, ranking T19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 190.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Mets this season (16th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .253 (25th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 7-3-12 | 6-1-6 | 1-2-6 | 2-0-3 | 5-3-9 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
| Mets | 5-5-12 | 4-2-3 | 1-3-9 | 5-3-6 | 0-2-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Twins are +135 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -175.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 12-6-4 | 7-3-3 | 5-3-1 | 3-1-1 | 9-5-3 | 0-0-0 | 7-1-2 |
| Mets | 6-10-6 | 3-5-1 | 3-5-5 | 4-7-3 | 2-3-3 | 0-0-0 | 1-6-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 12-10 in Twins games this season. The Mets have a 10-12 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded a 4-3 extra innings victory over the Mets at Target Field when these teams last met on April 16, 2025. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Jesse Winker did what he could, hitting a home run.
