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MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers (May 16, 2026)

The Texas Rangers (21-23) face the Houston Astros (18-28) at Daikin Park on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jacob deGrom is the probable pitcher for the Rangers, while Kai-Wei Teng is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Rangers are favored to win at -143, while the Astros are at +119. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Rangers (+119) have a 22-22 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (-143) hold a record of 18-28.
  • The Rangers have a 17-26-1 O/U record this season (meaning 17 games have gone over the total runs line, 26 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Astros have a 28-17-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rangers are averaging 3.7 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging +0.8 more at 4.5 runs (11th).
  • In the field, the Rangers are allowing only 3.7 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 5.5 runs (29th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at an impressive .253 (ranking 4th in the Major leagues), while the Rangers are batting an underwhelming .229 (26th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros have hit 55 (6th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rangers have managed 40 (T21st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rangers have recorded 154 RBIs to rank 29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 198 RBIs to rank 9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rangers have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.60 (6th in the Majors), while the Astros are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 5.47 (30th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rangers have recorded 373 this season, ranking T14th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank T5th for total strikeouts, recording 397.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .259 against the Astros this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rangers' opponents are at .227 (8th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rangers 8-17-19 1-9-11 7-8-8 3-5-9 5-12-10 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Astros 15-13-18 9-6-9 6-7-9 4-4-8 11-9-10 0-0-0 1-2-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rangers 16-17-11 5-9-7 11-8-4 6-7-4 10-10-7 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Astros 16-17-13 9-10-5 7-7-8 6-6-4 10-11-9 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 17-27 in Rangers games this season. The Astros have a 17-29 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 2-0 victory over the Rangers at Daikin Park yesterday. Isaac Paredes went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Astros have now won four straight against the Rangers.