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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins (May 16, 2026)

The Miami Marlins (20-25) face the Tampa Bay Rays (29-14) at Tropicana Field on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Nick Martinez is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -136, while the Marlins are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Marlins (-186) have an 18-27 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+153) hold a record of 26-17.
  • The Marlins have a 26-17-2 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total runs line, 17 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 21-19-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (11th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .242 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .259 (3rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 36 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 35 (27th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 177 RBIs to rank T18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 183 RBIs to rank 14th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.48 this season (5th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.26 (18th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 376 this season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording 333.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .218 against the Rays this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .227 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 9-11-25 5-5-16 4-6-9 6-4-19 3-7-6 0-0-0 2-4-4
    Rays 11-8-24 4-5-10 7-3-14 6-6-13 5-2-11 0-0-0 5-1-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 18-18-9 11-9-6 7-9-3 13-9-7 5-9-2 0-0-0 3-5-2
    Rays 19-14-10 9-5-5 10-9-5 13-9-3 6-5-7 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 22-23 in Marlins games this season. The Rays have a 23-20 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 7-2 victory over the Marlins at Tropicana Field yesterday. Cedric Mullins dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 3 singles and an RBI.