MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers (May 16, 2026)
The Milwaukee Brewers (25-17) face the Minnesota Twins (20-25) at Target Field on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Logan Henderson is the probable pitcher for the Brewers, while Connor Prielipp is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Brewers are favored to win at -126, while the Twins are at +104. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Brewers (+130) have a 25-17 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-157) hold a record of 22-23.
- The Brewers have a 20-21-1 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total runs line, 21 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Twins have a 26-16-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Brewers are averaging 5.0 runs per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.7 (8th).
- In the field, the Brewers are allowing only 3.6 runs per game this season (4th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (24th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Brewers are at .245 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .236 (18th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 49 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Brewers have managed 27 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers have recorded 203 RBIs to rank 7th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 201 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.43 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Brewers have an ERA of 3.32 (3rd).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Brewers have recorded an impressive 408 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Twins rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording only 340.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .247 against the Twins this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Brewers' opponents are at .225 (5th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 11-10-21 | 5-7-12 | 6-3-9 | 9-6-13 | 2-4-8 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Twins | 10-10-25 | 8-3-13 | 2-7-12 | 2-2-4 | 8-8-21 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 18-14-10 | 10-8-6 | 8-6-4 | 13-7-8 | 5-7-2 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Twins | 19-15-11 | 11-6-7 | 8-9-4 | 5-2-1 | 14-13-10 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 21-21 in Brewers games this season. The Twins have a 25-20 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Brewers recorded a 3-2 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Jake Bauers went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Brewers have now won six straight at Target Field against the Twins.
