MLB Prop Bets: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays (May 16, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (19-25) face the Detroit Tigers (20-25) at Comerica Park on Saturday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mason Fluharty is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Casey Mize is the probable pitcher for the Tigers. The Tigers are favored to win at -122, while the Blue Jays are at +102. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

• The Blue Jays (+157) have a 20-24 Run Line record this season, while the Tigers (-191) hold a record of 21-24.
• The Blue Jays have a 21-21-2 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line, 21 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Tigers have a 21-23-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 (24th).
• In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (T16th in the league), while the Tigers are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (13th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

• Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .245 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Tigers are batting .242 (13th).

Home Runs

• In terms of total home runs this season, the Tigers have hit 40 (T21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 40 (T21st).

Runs Batted In

• Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 176 RBIs to rank T23rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Tigers have recorded 176 RBIs to rank T23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

• The Tigers have an earned run average of 4.02 this season (13th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.10 (16th).

Strikeouts

• Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 395 this season, ranking 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Tigers rank T17th for total strikeouts, recording 370.

Opponent Batting Average

• Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Tigers this season (17th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .251 (22nd).

First Innings Moneyline

• Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Neutral	Last 10
Blue Jays	8-13-23	5-6-13	3-7-10	7-9-14	1-4-9	0-0-0	2-3-5
Tigers	10-8-27	5-2-12	5-6-15	8-6-13	2-2-14	0-0-0	2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

• Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Neutral	Last 10
Blue Jays	14-16-14	9-9-6	5-7-8	11-10-9	3-6-5	0-0-0	4-3-3
Tigers	18-17-10	9-7-3	9-10-7	14-9-4	4-8-6	0-0-0	3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.

• The NRFI is 22-22 in Blue Jays games this season. The Tigers have a 26-19 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Tigers recorded a 3-2 victory over the Blue Jays at Comerica Park yesterday. Matt Vierling led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.