MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins (July 4, 2026)
The Minnesota Twins (42-47) face the New York Yankees (49-38) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zebby Matthews is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Brendan Beck is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -168, while the Twins are at +139. The total runs line is set at 10.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.
- The Twins (-143) have a 48-41 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+119) hold a record of 43-44.
- The Twins have a 52-31-6 O/U record this season (meaning 52 games have gone over the total runs line, 31 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 38-44-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 4.9 (7th).
- In the field, the Twins are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .246 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .236 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 126 (1st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 111 (10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 409 RBIs to rank 7th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 402 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.34 (1st in the Majors), while the Twins are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.83 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 726 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 11th for total strikeouts, recording 759.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .226 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Twins' opponents are at .255 (25th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 22-22-45 | 11-10-24 | 11-12-21 | 6-6-9 | 16-16-36 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Yankees | 27-18-42 | 14-9-18 | 13-9-24 | 23-14-39 | 4-4-3 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 35-34-20 | 17-15-13 | 18-19-7 | 9-7-5 | 26-27-15 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Yankees | 42-25-20 | 19-10-12 | 23-15-8 | 36-22-18 | 6-3-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-6-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +110 and the YRFI is paying -145.
- The NRFI is 38-51 in Twins games this season. The Yankees have a 40-47 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded an upset 5-2 victory over the Twins at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Kody Clemens was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Yankees have now won three straight against the Twins.
