MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox (July 10, 2026)
The Boston Red Sox (43-48) face the New York Mets (40-54) at Citi Field on Friday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sonny Gray is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -125, while the Red Sox are at +104. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -111 and UNDER at -108.
- The Red Sox (-193) have a 42-49 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+158) hold a record of 41-53.
- The Red Sox have a 41-46-4 O/U record this season (meaning 41 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 44-43-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Red Sox are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.2 (22nd).
- In the field, the Red Sox are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (4th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (19th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .244 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .235 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 110 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 81 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 355 RBIs to rank T29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 375 RBIs to rank 22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.32 this season (18th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.67 (7th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 777 this season, ranking T17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 860.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Mets this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .239 (13th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 17-30-44 | 10-12-22 | 7-18-22 | 12-16-29 | 5-14-15 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Mets | 21-23-50 | 15-9-22 | 6-14-28 | 19-13-29 | 2-10-21 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Red Sox are +100 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -130.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 34-34-23 | 17-17-10 | 17-17-13 | 24-17-16 | 10-17-7 | 0-0-0 | 7-1-2 |
| Mets | 28-45-21 | 17-21-8 | 11-24-13 | 22-25-14 | 6-20-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 42-49 in Red Sox games this season. The Mets have a 47-47 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded a 5-1 victory over the Red Sox at Fenway Park when these teams last met on May 21, 2025. Francisco Lindor was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Red Sox's four-game winning streak against the Mets at Fenway Park.
