MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians (July 10, 2026)
The Cleveland Guardians (48-46) face the Miami Marlins (52-42) at LoanDepot Park on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Parker Messick is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +102.
- The Guardians (-220) have a 43-51 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (+179) hold a record of 50-44.
- The Guardians have a 45-49-0 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line and 49 have gone under). The Marlins have a 51-41-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Guardians are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging +0.6 more at 4.6 runs (11th).
- In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (8th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Guardians are at .228 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .255 (7th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 95 (T23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 90 (26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 356 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 417 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.04 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.78 (8th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 849 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 789.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Marlins this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .238 (9th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 19-17-58 | 12-8-26 | 7-9-32 | 12-9-32 | 7-8-26 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Marlins | 21-20-53 | 10-8-30 | 11-12-23 | 10-6-32 | 11-14-21 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Guardians are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 34-29-31 | 20-13-13 | 14-16-18 | 21-16-16 | 13-13-15 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Marlins | 38-34-22 | 21-13-14 | 17-21-8 | 21-12-15 | 17-22-7 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 55-39 in Guardians games this season. The Marlins have a 47-47 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a 9-4 victory over the Marlins at Progressive Field when these teams last met on August 14, 2025. Jose Ramirez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.
