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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals (July 10, 2026)

The Kansas City Royals (38-56) face the Baltimore Orioles (43-51) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Luinder Avila is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Brandon Young is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Orioles are favored to win at -157, while the Royals are at +130. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -107.

  • The Royals (-156) have a 42-52 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (+129) hold a record of 45-49.
  • The Royals have a 46-46-2 O/U record this season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 50-39-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.6 (13th).
  • In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (23rd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .247 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .238 (21st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 109 (16th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 95 (T23rd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 386 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 414 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.37 this season (21st in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.89 (28th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 716 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 739.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .254 against the Orioles this season (25th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .264 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 21-26-47 10-13-24 11-13-23 5-9-21 16-17-26 0-0-0 5-4-1
    Orioles 17-23-54 8-10-32 9-13-22 9-8-31 8-15-23 0-0-0 4-1-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 29-47-18 16-22-9 13-25-9 10-19-6 19-28-12 0-0-0 2-5-3
    Orioles 31-37-26 19-18-13 12-19-13 14-18-16 17-19-10 0-0-0 2-5-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +110 and the YRFI is paying -145.

  • The NRFI is 44-50 in Royals games this season. The Orioles have a 49-45 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded an 8-6 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium when these teams last met on April 22. Vinnie Pasquantino was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.