MLB Prop Bets: Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies (July 10, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (52-42) face the Detroit Tigers (43-50) at Comerica Park on Friday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Jack Flaherty is the probable pitcher for the Tigers. The Tigers are favored to win at -125, while the Phillies are at +104. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -117.
- The Phillies (-198) have a 37-57 Run Line record this season, while the Tigers (+162) hold a record of 47-46.
- The Phillies have a 40-50-4 O/U record this season (meaning 40 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Tigers have a 40-51-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 (20th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Tigers are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .237 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Tigers are batting .236 (24th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Tigers have hit 111 (14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 123 (6th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 398 RBIs to rank 17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Tigers have recorded 377 RBIs to rank T20th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Tigers have an earned run average of 3.66 this season (6th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.24 (16th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 919 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Tigers rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 767.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Tigers this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .256 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 26-22-46 | 15-9-22 | 11-13-24 | 23-16-31 | 3-6-15 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
| Tigers | 26-13-54 | 11-6-30 | 15-7-24 | 17-9-27 | 9-4-27 | 0-0-0 | 5-0-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 38-36-20 | 22-16-8 | 16-20-12 | 32-26-12 | 6-10-8 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Tigers | 45-32-16 | 24-15-8 | 21-17-8 | 26-19-8 | 19-13-8 | 0-0-0 | 8-2-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 45-49 in Phillies games this season. The Tigers have a 51-42 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Phillies recorded a 2-0 victory over the Tigers at Citizens Bank Park when these teams last met on August 3, 2025. Kyle Schwarber was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.
