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MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers (July 10, 2026)

The Milwaukee Brewers (59-34) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-47) at PNC Park on Friday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Brandon Sproat is the probable pitcher for the Brewers, while Braxton Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates are favored to win at -136, while the Brewers are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Brewers (-182) have a 50-43 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (+150) hold a record of 45-49.
  • The Brewers have a 41-50-2 O/U record this season (meaning 41 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 54-37-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Brewers are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging 5.2 (3rd).
  • In the field, the Brewers are allowing only 3.6 runs per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Brewers are at .255 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .262 (2nd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 120 (T7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Brewers have managed 86 (28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers have recorded 450 RBIs to rank 4th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Pirates have recorded 472 RBIs to rank 2nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Pirates have an earned run average of 4.32 this season (19th in the Majors), while The Brewers have an ERA of 3.33 (1st).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Brewers have recorded 903 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 4th for total strikeouts, recording 858.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Pirates this season (14th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Brewers' opponents are at .217 (2nd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Brewers 25-22-46 14-11-22 11-11-24 21-17-32 4-5-14 0-0-0 1-5-4
    Pirates 30-16-48 17-8-23 13-8-25 20-6-25 10-10-23 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Brewers 39-30-24 21-12-14 18-18-10 27-23-20 12-7-4 0-0-0 2-6-2
    Pirates 41-33-20 26-11-11 15-22-9 26-14-11 15-19-9 0-0-0 3-6-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 45-48 in Brewers games this season. The Pirates have a 45-49 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Brewers recorded a 5-0 victory over the Pirates at American Family Field when these teams last met on April 26. Brandon Lockridge went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.