MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees (July 10, 2026)
The New York Yankees (51-42) face the Washington Nationals (48-46) at Nationals Park on Friday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ryan Weathers is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Carson Palmquist is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Yankees are favored to win at -163, while the Nationals are at +135. The total runs line is set at 10.0, with OVER at -107 and UNDER at -113.
- The Yankees (-103) have a 45-48 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-117) hold a record of 58-36.
- The Yankees have a 41-47-5 O/U record this season (meaning 41 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 55-35-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging 5.4 (1st).
- In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (6th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.3 runs (28th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .235 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .251 (8th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 132 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 135 (1st).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 427 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 484 RBIs to rank 1st.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.41 (2nd in the Majors), while the Nationals are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.76 (26th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 810 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 21st for total strikeouts, recording 744.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .228 against the Yankees this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .259 (27th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 27-21-45 | 14-11-18 | 13-10-27 | 23-16-40 | 4-5-5 | 0-0-0 | 0-5-5 |
| Nationals | 28-18-48 | 16-8-24 | 12-10-24 | 6-3-8 | 22-15-40 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Yankees are -145 to lead after three innings, while the Nationals are +114.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 44-28-21 | 19-12-12 | 25-16-9 | 36-24-19 | 8-4-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-6-1 |
| Nationals | 39-29-26 | 22-15-11 | 17-14-15 | 11-2-4 | 28-27-22 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +110 and the YRFI is paying -140.
- The NRFI is 43-50 in Yankees games this season. The Nationals have a 45-49 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded a lopsided 11-2 victory against the Nationals at Yankee Stadium when these teams last met on August 27, 2025. Aaron Judge was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Yankees have now won three straight against the Nationals.
