MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs (July 10, 2026)
The Chicago Cubs (52-41) face the Cincinnati Reds (42-50) at Great American Ball Park on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Shota Imanaga is the probable pitcher for the Cubs, while Hunter Greene is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Cubs coming into -112 and Reds drifting to -107. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.
- The Cubs (+144) have a 41-52 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-175) hold a record of 50-42.
- The Cubs have a 49-42-2 O/U record this season (meaning 49 games have gone over the total runs line, 42 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 52-40-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Cubs are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging only 4.2 (23rd).
- In the field, the Cubs are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (T15th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (20th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cubs are at .244 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .227 (29th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 113 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Cubs have managed 118 (T9th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cubs have been outstanding this season, recording 439 RBIs to rank T5th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Reds have performed poorly in this area, recording only 365 RBIs to rank 26th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Reds have an earned run average of 4.53 this season (22nd in the Majors), while The Cubs have an ERA of 4.35 (20th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Cubs have recorded 726 this season, ranking 25th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank T23rd for total strikeouts, recording 738.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .248 against the Reds this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Cubs' opponents are at .244 (18th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 17-18-58 | 11-9-26 | 6-9-32 | 15-9-40 | 2-9-18 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Reds | 19-25-48 | 9-11-27 | 10-14-21 | 8-5-15 | 11-20-33 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Cubs are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Reds are -125.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 36-31-26 | 23-14-9 | 13-17-17 | 31-18-15 | 5-13-11 | 0-0-0 | 4-5-1 |
| Reds | 28-38-26 | 14-19-14 | 14-19-12 | 11-9-8 | 17-29-18 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 56-37 in Cubs games this season. The Reds have a 46-46 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Cubs recorded an 8-3 victory over the Reds at Wrigley Field when these teams last met on May 7. Michael Conforto was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs. The Cubs have now won five straight at Wrigley Field against the Reds.
