MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays (July 10, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (44-49) face the San Diego Padres (46-47) at Petco Park on Friday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Shane Bieber is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while JP Sears is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Padres are favored to win at -119, while the Blue Jays are at -102. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -102.
- The Blue Jays (+166) have a 46-47 Run Line record this season, while the Padres (-203) hold a record of 45-48.
- The Blue Jays have a 47-43-3 O/U record this season (meaning 47 games have gone over the total runs line, 43 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 40-52-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Padres are averaging 3.9 (30th).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Padres are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (12th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .244 (ranking 16th in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting .225 (30th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Padres have hit 97 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 93 (25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 360 RBIs to rank 27th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Padres have recorded 355 RBIs to rank T29th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Padres have an earned run average of 4.20 this season (13th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.08 (12th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 825 this season, ranking 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 759.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .247 against the Padres this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .239 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 17-29-47 | 9-18-22 | 8-11-25 | 12-20-22 | 5-9-25 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Padres | 13-18-62 | 7-10-31 | 6-8-29 | 7-7-26 | 6-11-36 | 0-0-2 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Blue Jays are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Padres are -125.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 32-39-22 | 17-21-11 | 15-18-11 | 22-20-12 | 10-19-10 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
| Padres | 28-37-28 | 16-19-13 | 11-17-15 | 10-14-16 | 18-23-12 | 1-1-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 44-49 in Blue Jays games this season. The Padres have a 59-34 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded a 7-6 extra innings victory over the Padres at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on May 22, 2025. Gavin Sheets was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 5 RBIs. The Blue Jays have now won four straight at Rogers Centre against the Padres.
